| KPI | [EUR m] | Q4 2021 | FY 2021 | Q4 2022 E | FY 2022 E | FY 2023 E | FY 2024 E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue continuing operations | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Revenue continuing operations | Highest | 2,684.6 | 10,924.6 | 11,302.1 | 11,679.5 | ||
| Revenue continuing operations | Consensus (Mean) | 2,403.0 | 9,587.0 | 2,552.2 | 10,792.2 | 10,710.8 | 11,069.1 |
| Revenue continuing operations | Median | 2,582.8 | 10,822.8 | 10,780.0 | 11,140.0 | ||
| Revenue continuing operations | Lowest | 2,145.0 | 10,385.0 | 9,955.0 | 10,459.9 | ||
| EBITDA | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| EBITDA | Highest | 232.2 | 1,169.2 | 1,553.2 | 1,755.4 | ||
| EBITDA | Consensus (Mean) | 301.0 | 1,436.0 | 206.9 | 1,144.9 | 1,358.6 | 1,612.2 |
| EBITDA | Median | 209.4 | 1,146.4 | 1,363.0 | 1,638.0 | ||
| EBITDA | Lowest | 180.0 | 1,117.0 | 1,219.1 | 1,475.6 | ||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | Highest | -73.1 | -347.1 | -324.2 | -332.2 | ||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | Consensus (Mean) | -92.0 | -344.0 | -89.6 | -363.5 | -370.3 | -379.5 |
| Depreciation & Amortisation | Median | -91.8 | -365.8 | -370.6 | -382.3 | ||
| Depreciation & Amortisation | Lowest | -105.0 | -379.0 | -406.0 | -419.4 | ||
| EBIT before incidentals | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| EBIT before incidentals | Highest | 138.2 | 809.4 | 1,199.1 | 1,378.0 | ||
| EBIT before incidentals | Consensus (Mean) | 209.0 | 1,092.0 | 117.4 | 781.4 | 988.3 | 1,232.7 |
| EBIT before incidentals | Median | 117.2 | 780.2 | 999.1 | 1,245.2 | ||
| EBIT before incidentals | Lowest | 96.5 | 759.5 | 836.0 | 1,084.5 | ||
| Incidentals | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Incidentals | Highest | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| Incidentals | Consensus (Mean) | -4.0 | 26.0 | 1.8 | -56.2 | -28.2 | -17.2 |
| Incidentals | Median | -5.0 | -63.0 | -20.0 | -9.0 | ||
| Incidentals | Lowest | -17.0 | -75.0 | -160.0 | -50.0 | ||
| Operating income | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Operating income | Highest | 164.9 | 769.9 | 1,199.1 | 1,378.0 | ||
| Operating income | Consensus (Mean) | 205.0 | 1,118.0 | 120.2 | 725.2 | 960.2 | 1,215.5 |
| Operating income | Median | 117.8 | 722.8 | 959.1 | 1,244.4 | ||
| Operating income | Lowest | 101.4 | 706.4 | 808.0 | 1,044.0 | ||
| Net income after minorities (including discontinued operations) | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Net income after minorities (including discontinued operations) | Highest | 154.7 | 498.7 | 795.1 | 980.0 | ||
| Net income after minorities (including discontinued operations) | Consensus (Mean) | 187.0 | 829.0 | 96.9 | 440.9 | 628.2 | 816.7 |
| Net income after minorities (including discontinued operations) | Median | 93.0 | 437.0 | 629.0 | 829.0 | ||
| Net income after minorities (including discontinued operations) | Lowest | 45.0 | 389.0 | 492.8 | 666.4 | ||
| Weighted average number of shares during the year (in million) | Number of Estimates | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Weighted average number of shares during the year (in million) | Highest | 177.2 | 176.6 | 176.4 | 176.4 | ||
| Weighted average number of shares during the year (in million) | Consensus (Mean) | 180.6 | 185.0 | 172.0 | 174.7 | 171.8 | 171.0 |
| Weighted average number of shares during the year (in million) | Median | 172.3 | 175.1 | 171.0 | 171.0 | ||
| Weighted average number of shares during the year (in million) | Lowest | 157.8 | 170.6 | 169.0 | 160.6 | ||
| EPS total operations (in Euro) | Number of Estimates | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| EPS total operations (in Euro) | Highest | 0.91 | 2.87 | 4.51 | 5.71 | ||
| EPS total operations (in Euro) | Consensus (Mean) | 1.04 | 4.48 | 0.57 | 2.52 | 3.65 | 4.78 |
| EPS total operations (in Euro) | Median | 0.59 | 2.53 | 3.68 | 4.78 | ||
| EPS total operations (in Euro) | Lowest | 0.26 | 2.22 | 2.91 | 3.92 | ||
| Dividend per Share (in Euro) | Number of Estimates | - | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
| Dividend per Share (in Euro) | Highest | - | 2.20 | 2.92 | 3.94 | ||
| Dividend per Share (in Euro) | Consensus (Mean) | - | 1.98 | - | 1.94 | 2.09 | 2.27 |
| Dividend per Share (in Euro) | Median | - | 1.99 | 2.03 | 2.20 | ||
| Dividend per Share (in Euro) | Lowest | - | 0.97 | 1.35 | 1.45 | ||
| Decorative Paints Revenues | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Decorative Paints Revenues | Highest | 1,089.3 | 4,447.3 | 4,548.3 | 4,796.6 | ||
| Decorative Paints Revenues | Consensus (Mean) | 950.0 | 3,979.0 | 1,009.5 | 4,367.5 | 4,364.8 | 4,513.2 |
| Decorative Paints Revenues | Median | 1,018.5 | 4,376.5 | 4,375.3 | 4,497.8 | ||
| Decorative Paints Revenues | Lowest | 811.0 | 4,169.0 | 4,025.6 | 4,082.5 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBITDA | Number of Estimates | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBITDA | Highest | 125.4 | 584.4 | 744.7 | 831.2 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBITDA | Consensus (Mean) | 143.0 | 728.0 | 103.3 | 563.0 | 659.9 | 758.3 |
| Decorative Paints EBITDA | Median | 102.4 | 561.5 | 652.0 | 757.0 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBITDA | Lowest | 73.5 | 532.5 | 596.6 | 699.0 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBIT before incidentals | Number of Estimates | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBIT before incidentals | Highest | 90.4 | 433.4 | 592.4 | 666.7 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBIT before incidentals | Consensus (Mean) | 102.0 | 580.0 | 65.0 | 408.7 | 498.6 | 588.9 |
| Decorative Paints EBIT before incidentals | Median | 66.0 | 409.0 | 491.9 | 593.7 | ||
| Decorative Paints EBIT before incidentals | Lowest | 34.2 | 377.2 | 427.3 | 467.8 | ||
| Decorative Paints operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Number of Estimates | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | ||
| Decorative Paints operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Highest | 88.4 | 431.4 | 592.4 | 666.7 | ||
| Decorative Paints operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Consensus (Mean) | 102.0 | 622.0 | 60.3 | 403.3 | 496.3 | 600.3 |
| Decorative Paints operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Median | 57.7 | 400.7 | 487.0 | 599.0 | ||
| Decorative Paints operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Lowest | 22.2 | 365.2 | 440.6 | 545.4 | ||
| Performance Coatings Revenues | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Performance Coatings Revenues | Highest | 1,659.7 | 6,538.7 | 6,748.8 | 6,959.5 | ||
| Performance Coatings Revenues | Consensus (Mean) | 1,452.0 | 5,603.0 | 1,539.0 | 6,418.0 | 6,341.4 | 6,551.2 |
| Performance Coatings Revenues | Median | 1,538.1 | 6,417.1 | 6,370.6 | 6,531.3 | ||
| Performance Coatings Revenues | Lowest | 1,333.0 | 6,212.0 | 5,900.0 | 6,200.0 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBITDA | Number of Estimates | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBITDA | Highest | 139.8 | 669.8 | 885.7 | 1,075.7 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBITDA | Consensus (Mean) | 170.0 | 773.0 | 123.0 | 647.4 | 789.4 | 946.5 |
| Performance Coatings EBITDA | Median | 128.4 | 652.4 | 785.2 | 938.6 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBITDA | Lowest | 103.5 | 627.5 | 717.2 | 848.6 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBIT before incidentals | Number of Estimates | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBIT before incidentals | Highest | 98.1 | 501.1 | 724.6 | 906.7 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBIT before incidentals | Consensus (Mean) | 128.0 | 614.0 | 79.9 | 477.2 | 615.1 | 767.5 |
| Performance Coatings EBIT before incidentals | Median | 83.3 | 480.3 | 608.7 | 766.2 | ||
| Performance Coatings EBIT before incidentals | Lowest | 63.8 | 460.8 | 558.2 | 669.2 | ||
| Performance Coatings operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Number of Estimates | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | ||
| Performance Coatings operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Highest | 127.3 | 487.3 | 719.0 | 906.7 | ||
| Performance Coatings operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Consensus (Mean) | 128.0 | 616.0 | 81.3 | 441.3 | 594.1 | 769.4 |
| Performance Coatings operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Median | 81.3 | 441.3 | 589.0 | 777.9 | ||
| Performance Coatings operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Lowest | 60.0 | 420.0 | 516.6 | 685.2 | ||
| Other/elimination Revenues | Number of Estimates | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | ||
| Other/elimination Revenues | Highest | 43.0 | 46.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | ||
| Other/elimination Revenues | Consensus (Mean) | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Other/elimination Revenues | Median | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | ||
| Other/elimination Revenues | Lowest | -3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| Other/elimination EBITDA | Number of Estimates | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | ||
| Other/elimination EBITDA | Highest | -7.0 | -53.0 | -55.0 | -50.0 | ||
| Other/elimination EBITDA | Consensus (Mean) | -12.0 | -65.0 | -20.7 | -66.7 | -78.2 | -80.2 |
| Other/elimination EBITDA | Median | -18.1 | -64.1 | -74.1 | -75.0 | ||
| Other/elimination EBITDA | Lowest | -52.0 | -98.0 | -148.0 | -152.0 | ||
| Other/elimination EBIT before incidentals | Number of Estimates | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | ||
| Other/elimination EBIT before incidentals | Highest | -17.0 | -94.0 | -94.0 | -94.0 | ||
| Other/elimination EBIT before incidentals | Consensus (Mean) | -21.0 | -102.0 | -28.0 | -105.0 | -115.9 | -118.2 |
| Other/elimination EBIT before incidentals | Median | -28.0 | -105.0 | -111.7 | -113.6 | ||
| Other/elimination EBIT before incidentals | Lowest | -43.0 | -120.0 | -192.0 | -200.0 | ||
| Other/elimination operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Number of Estimates | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | ||
| Other/elimination operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Highest | -11.0 | -109.0 | -94.0 | -94.0 | ||
| Other/elimination operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Consensus (Mean) | -25.0 | -120.0 | -24.7 | -122.7 | -119.6 | -120.5 |
| Other/elimination operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Median | -24.0 | -122.0 | -111.7 | -111.1 | ||
| Other/elimination operating income (EBIT after incidentals) | Lowest | -32.0 | -130.0 | -192.0 | -200.0 |
This document has been issued by Vara Research GmbH for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding revenues, earnings and business developments of the relevant company. The company did not participate in the compilation of the estimates and it does not endorse them. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Vara Research GmbH gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.
