[in Mill. US Dollar] | Q4 2020 E | FY 2020 E | FY 2021 E | FY 2022 E | FY 2023 E | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Integrated Gas | Number of analysts participating | 21 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Integrated Gas | Highest | 1,662 | 4,936 | 10,373 | 9,473 | 9,950 |
Integrated Gas | Consensus | 1,002 | 4,275 | 5,988 | 7,245 | 7,794 |
Integrated Gas | Lowest | 773 | 4,046 | 4,170 | 5,290 | 5,494 |
Upstream | Number of analysts participating | 21 | 21 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Upstream | Highest | 159 | -1,947 | 4,777 | 6,414 | 8,155 |
Upstream | Consensus | -685 | -2,790 | 2,164 | 4,148 | 4,585 |
Upstream | Lowest | -1,487 | -3,592 | -2,110 | 822 | 1,483 |
Oil Products (CCS basis) | Number of analysts participating | 23 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Oil Products (CCS basis) | Highest | 1,627 | 7,081 | 7,407 | 7,931 | 8,081 |
Oil Products (CCS basis) | Consensus | 968 | 6,422 | 5,399 | 6,297 | 6,544 |
Oil Products (CCS basis) | Lowest | 153 | 5,606 | 3,831 | 5,231 | 5,761 |
Chemicals (CCS basis) | Number of analysts participating | 23 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Chemicals (CCS basis) | Highest | 422 | 1,003 | 1,642 | 2,006 | 2,359 |
Chemicals (CCS basis) | Consensus | 291 | 872 | 1,118 | 1,376 | 1,826 |
Chemicals (CCS basis) | Lowest | 107 | 687 | 606 | 525 | 1,050 |
Operating Income | Number of analysts participating | 24 | 24 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Operating Income | Highest | 3,061 | 10,264 | 20,675 | 22,998 | 25,928 |
Operating Income | Consensus | 1,588 | 8,793 | 14,680 | 18,728 | 20,360 |
Operating Income | Lowest | 358 | 7,562 | 9,464 | 12,326 | 13,177 |
Corporate | Number of analysts participating | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Corporate | Highest | -740 | -3,317 | -2,362 | -1,921 | -1,551 |
Corporate | Consensus | -925 | -3,502 | -3,325 | -3,066 | -2,818 |
Corporate | Lowest | -1,256 | -3,833 | -4,682 | -4,208 | -3,800 |
Non-controlling interest | Number of analysts participating | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Non-controlling interest | Highest | 36 | -140 | -180 | -180 | -140 |
Non-controlling interest | Consensus | -58 | -233 | -339 | -405 | -424 |
Non-controlling interest | Lowest | -177 | -353 | -500 | -545 | -560 |
Adjusted Earnings | Number of analysts participating | 25 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Adjusted Earnings | Highest | 2,070 | 6,521 | 16,546 | 19,946 | 22,441 |
Adjusted Earnings | Consensus | 597 | 5,050 | 10,753 | 14,930 | 16,945 |
Adjusted Earnings | Lowest | -613 | 3,838 | 5,204 | 8,392 | 9,128 |
Weighted average number of shares (diluted) | Number of analysts participating | 25 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Weighted average number of shares (diluted) | Highest | 8,066 | 8,066 | 8,026 | 7,885 | 7,824 |
Weighted average number of shares (diluted) | Consensus | 7,827 | 7,828 | 7,813 | 7,704 | 7,334 |
Weighted average number of shares (diluted) | Lowest | 7,789 | 7,797 | 7,702 | 7,370 | 3,812 |
Adjusted Earnings per share | Number of analysts participating | 25 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Adjusted Earnings per share | Highest | 0.26 | 0.83 | 2.15 | 2.71 | 4.10 |
Adjusted Earnings per share | Consensus | 0.08 | 0.64 | 1.38 | 1.94 | 2.36 |
Adjusted Earnings per share | Lowest | -0.08 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 1.07 | 1.17 |
Dividend per Share | Number of analysts participating | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Dividend per Share | Highest | 0.46 | 0.96 | 1.13 | 1.70 | 1.94 |
Dividend per Share | Consensus | 0.18 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
Dividend per Share | Lowest | 0.16 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
Cash flow from operating activities * | Number of analysts participating | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Cash flow from operating activities * | Highest | 9,574 | 37,391 | 44,666 | 47,782 | 55,803 |
Cash flow from operating activities * | Consensus | 6,424 | 34,241 | 38,882 | 43,571 | 46,302 |
Cash flow from operating activities * | Lowest | 3,150 | 30,967 | 31,633 | 37,252 | 38,658 |
of which decrease / (increase) in working capital (WC) | Number of analysts participating | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
of which decrease / (increase) in working capital (WC) | Highest | 1,448 | 6,394 | 500 | 0 | 0 |
of which decrease / (increase) in working capital (WC) | Consensus | -558 | 4,388 | -433 | -597 | -127 |
of which decrease / (increase) in working capital (WC) | Lowest | -3,301 | 1,645 | -3,977 | -2,993 | -1,250 |
Cash flow from operating activities excl. WC movements | Number of analysts participating | 20 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Cash flow from operating activities excl. WC movements | Highest | 9,375 | 32,246 | 45,095 | 48,148 | 55,803 |
Cash flow from operating activities excl. WC movements | Consensus | 6,939 | 29,811 | 39,596 | 44,489 | 46,178 |
Cash flow from operating activities excl. WC movements | Lowest | 4,074 | 26,946 | 33,133 | 38,417 | 38,658 |
Oil price assumption Brent | Number of analysts participating | 25 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Oil price assumption Brent | Highest | 45.5 | 43.4 | 58.8 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
Oil price assumption Brent | Consensus | 44.5 | 42.4 | 51.7 | 56.3 | 57.4 |
Oil price assumption Brent | Lowest | 40.0 | 40.6 | 46.0 | 48.0 | 50.0 |
Oil price assumption WTI | Number of analysts participating | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Oil price assumption WTI | Highest | 45.0 | 40.3 | 55.8 | 57.5 | 61.0 |
Oil price assumption WTI | Consensus | 42.5 | 39.2 | 48.3 | 52.2 | 53.2 |
Oil price assumption WTI | Lowest | 37.0 | 37.2 | 43.0 | 44.5 | 45.0 |
Henry Hub price assumption | Number of analysts participating | 25 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Henry Hub price assumption | Highest | 3.00 | 2.17 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
Henry Hub price assumption | Consensus | 2.72 | 2.10 | 2.80 | 2.64 | 2.63 |
Henry Hub price assumption | Lowest | 2.44 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.25 |
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LAST UPDATE: 2021-02-03
ESTIMATES OF THE FOLLOWING INSTITUTIONS WERE INCLUDED IN THE ABOVE FIGURES (DATES OF THE ESTIMATES ARE PROVIDED IN BRACKETS)
AB BERNSTEIN (2021-01-26), BANK OF AMERICA (2021-01-22), BARCLAYS (2021-01-13), BERENBERG BANK (2021-01-26), CITIGROUP (2021-01-19), COWEN AND COMPANY (2021-01-20), CREDIT SUISSE (2021-01-14), EXANE BNP PARIBAS (2021-01-18), GOLDMAN SACHS (2021-01-14), HSBC (2021-01-14), J.P. MORGAN CAZENOVE (2021-01-15), JEFFERIES (2021-01-25), KEPLER CHEUVREUX (2021-01-27), MIZUHO SECURITIES (2021-01-13), MORGAN STANLEY (2021-01-26), ODDO BHF (2021-01-19), PALISSY ADVISORS (2021-01-18), RBC CAPITAL MARKETS (2021-01-18), REDBURN (2021-01-19), SANTANDER (2021-01-20), SCOTIABANK (2021-01-15), SOCIÉTÉ GÉNÉRALE (2021-01-14), TUDOR, PICKERING, HOLT & CO. (2021-01-21), UBS (2021-01-21), WELLS FARGO (2021-01-26).
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