Evonik Detailed Consensus
Consensus as of: 2025-03-27

KPI[EUR m]Q1 2024FY 2024Q1 2025 EQ2 2025 EFY 2025 EFY 2026 EFY 2027 EFY 2028 E
SalesNumber of Estimates981212119
SalesHighest4,014.04,072.615,882.016,639.916,967.017,275.0
SalesAverage3,825.33,921.115,424.815,918.416,314.616,704.0
SalesConsensus (Median)3,796.015,157.03,818.03,910.715,520.215,963.216,170.516,645.6
SalesLowest3,625.03,748.014,685.015,264.015,893.016,219.3
thereof volumes in %Number of Estimates98111198
thereof volumes in %Highest4.45.14.65.24.14.1
thereof volumes in %Average3.23.33.13.02.62.1
thereof volumes in %Consensus (Median)4.04.03.33.23.03.02.51.9
thereof volumes in %Lowest2.02.42.41.51.80.0
thereof prices in %Number of Estimates98111198
thereof prices in %Highest0.80.84.00.91.51.6
thereof prices in %Average0.0-0.40.20.10.30.2
thereof prices in %Consensus (Median)-5.0-2.0-0.1-0.50.00.20.20.1
thereof prices in %Lowest-1.0-1.4-0.8-1.00.0-0.4
thereof FX in %Number of Estimates88101098
thereof FX in %Highest1.51.31.50.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Average0.50.30.40.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Consensus (Median)-1.0-1.00.50.30.30.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Lowest-0.8-0.8-0.5-0.1-0.1-0.1
thereof other incl. M&A in %Number of Estimates88101098
thereof other incl. M&A in %Highest0.00.00.01.20.20.2
thereof other incl. M&A in %Average-3.5-3.3-1.90.20.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Consensus (Median)-3.0-2.0-4.1-3.7-1.40.00.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Lowest-7.7-7.5-6.00.00.00.0
Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates981212118
Adjusted EBITDAHighest565.8605.92,251.02,533.02,767.02,797.0
Adjusted EBITDAAverage547.4588.32,170.62,333.12,461.42,582.1
Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)522.02,065.0543.0587.22,150.52,318.82,415.02,593.0
Adjusted EBITDALowest529.7573.72,132.02,251.02,329.72,383.2
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates981212118
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest15.316.015.216.617.417.0
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average14.315.014.114.715.115.5
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)13.813.614.415.114.114.514.815.5
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest13.414.213.414.014.414.4
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Number of Estimates981212118
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Highest-200.8-200.8-1,011.0-956.0-956.0-956.0
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Average-264.6-267.7-1,050.5-1,050.8-1,059.3-1,068.1
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Consensus (Median)-256.0-1,038.0-262.0-260.9-1,039.9-1,048.0-1,060.4-1,058.5
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Lowest-328.3-345.6-1,110.7-1,127.7-1,149.1-1,171.0
Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates981212118
Adjusted EBITHighest329.4376.31,202.01,486.01,704.01,742.0
Adjusted EBITAverage282.8320.71,120.11,282.41,402.11,514.0
Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)266.01,027.0289.0327.71,111.81,265.01,355.01,490.7
Adjusted EBITLowest237.4251.21,035.11,123.31,180.61,212.2
Adjusted net financial resultsNumber of Estimates981111107
Adjusted net financial resultsHighest-25.0-27.8-100.0-100.0-87.0-61.7
Adjusted net financial resultsAverage-35.5-36.0-140.2-134.3-123.1-116.4
Adjusted net financial resultsConsensus (Median)-33.0-143.0-35.3-35.4-140.0-133.9-118.7-105.6
Adjusted net financial resultsLowest-49.1-49.1-196.5-196.5-196.5-196.5
D&A on intangible assetsNumber of Estimates981111107
D&A on intangible assetsHighest40.040.0160.0160.0160.0160.0
D&A on intangible assetsAverage32.331.8132.7133.1129.6131.4
D&A on intangible assetsConsensus (Median)35.0144.036.033.0144.0144.0142.0144.0
D&A on intangible assetsLowest23.022.381.787.790.088.0
Adjusted income taxesNumber of Estimates981212118
Adjusted income taxesHighest-71.4-75.5-265.4-301.2-322.2-343.7
Adjusted income taxesAverage-77.9-89.2-313.8-362.2-397.3-428.2
Adjusted income taxesConsensus (Median)-67.0-233.0-74.5-88.1-321.5-374.5-387.2-419.4
Adjusted income taxesLowest-85.2-110.5-357.0-405.0-470.0-512.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestNumber of Estimates981111107
Adjusted non-controlling interestHighest-3.0-3.0-16.0-16.0-16.0-16.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestAverage-4.3-4.2-18.6-19.7-20.8-20.9
Adjusted non-controlling interestConsensus (Median)-4.0-18.0-4.5-4.4-19.0-20.0-20.8-20.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestLowest-5.0-5.0-20.0-24.3-27.8-30.8
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Number of Estimates981212118
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Highest240.2276.2835.91,016.21,174.21,234.0
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Average199.2223.0784.7902.9993.71,083.6
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Consensus (Median)197.0777.0209.0225.4780.8890.3969.01,080.1
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Lowest162.6171.9712.3784.5832.8863.7
Average number of sharesNumber of Estimates881212118
Average number of sharesHighest466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesAverage466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesConsensus (Median)466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesLowest466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Number of Estimates981212118
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Highest0.520.591.792.182.522.65
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Average0.430.481.681.942.132.32
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Consensus (Median)0.421.670.450.481.671.912.082.31
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Lowest0.350.371.531.681.791.85
Adjustments Number of Estimates87101098
Adjustments Highest0.00.00.00.00.00.0
Adjustments Average-20.6-18.4-73.3-68.3-66.6-55.8
Adjustments Consensus (Median)-14.0-450.0-17.0-15.0-67.5-62.0-55.0-33.0
Adjustments Lowest-50.0-50.0-200.0-200.0-200.0-200.0
EBIT (reported)Number of Estimates981111109
EBIT (reported)Highest305.9346.31,152.01,466.01,684.01,697.0
EBIT (reported)Average264.4304.51,054.21,223.91,347.21,461.4
EBIT (reported)Consensus (Median)252.0577.0265.5318.21,050.61,207.81,330.31,440.3
EBIT (reported)Lowest222.4236.2936.01,106.01,180.61,212.2
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Number of Estimates981111108
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Highest195.2247.6785.6976.51,086.61,101.6
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Average165.4190.4662.2785.7892.6985.0
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Consensus (Median)156.0222.0168.7191.8636.4739.0863.41,016.3
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Lowest126.9136.2572.0683.7732.0762.9
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Number of Estimates981111108
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Highest0.420.531.682.092.332.36
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Average0.350.411.421.691.912.11
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Consensus (Median)0.330.480.360.411.371.591.852.18
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Lowest0.270.291.231.471.571.64
Dividend per share (in Euro)Number of Estimates--1111107
Dividend per share (in Euro)Highest--1.351.401.481.61
Dividend per share (in Euro)Average--1.201.211.231.30
Dividend per share (in Euro)Consensus (Median)-1.17--1.171.171.171.21
Dividend per share (in Euro)Lowest--1.171.171.171.17
Operating Cash FlowNumber of Estimates--1212118
Operating Cash FlowHighest--2,041.61,975.02,099.02,223.0
Operating Cash FlowAverage--1,704.41,802.91,896.71,957.7
Operating Cash FlowConsensus (Median)378.01,713.0--1,719.01,774.51,919.61,995.9
Operating Cash FlowLowest--1,470.61,612.01,732.01,678.7
CapexNumber of Estimates--1212119
CapexHighest---790.7-800.0-800.0-800.0
CapexAverage---840.8-853.9-868.0-899.7
CapexConsensus (Median)-251.0-840.0---850.0-848.2-870.0-913.9
CapexLowest---890.0-918.0-928.0-975.0
Free Cash Flow Number of Estimates--1212118
Free Cash Flow Highest--1,198.71,150.01,249.01,248.0
Free Cash Flow Average--863.6949.01,028.71,066.3
Free Cash Flow Consensus (Median)127.0873.0--868.3914.81,082.21,103.0
Free Cash Flow Lowest--580.6749.0846.0778.7
Net financial debt (-cash)Number of Estimates--1111108
Net financial debt (-cash)Highest--3,533.03,278.93,060.22,850.1
Net financial debt (-cash)Average--3,106.52,792.12,347.81,929.4
Net financial debt (-cash)Consensus (Median)3,212.03,253.0--3,166.02,901.72,280.61,721.2
Net financial debt (-cash)Lowest--2,112.01,943.01,810.01,251.1
Specialty Additives; SalesNumber of Estimates989987
Specialty Additives; SalesHighest984.0996.63,813.03,964.04,044.04,184.6
Specialty Additives; SalesAverage952.3972.33,717.33,844.53,955.24,071.0
Specialty Additives; SalesConsensus (Median)915.03,607.0948.9974.73,719.93,817.03,964.54,091.2
Specialty Additives; SalesLowest926.0934.83,607.03,753.63,826.13,900.7
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates98101087
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAHighest219.0240.0834.0899.0950.01,000.0
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAAverage203.8225.1801.5845.6887.3921.9
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)200.0779.0207.2224.8795.8844.4880.0918.5
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDALowest185.5204.5772.0800.9833.8851.2
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates989987
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest22.524.722.323.023.524.0
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average21.423.121.622.122.422.6
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)21.921.621.622.921.622.322.422.6
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest19.821.920.821.121.421.7
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates888887
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITHighest167.9188.9654.0724.0789.0812.0
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITAverage153.6176.1604.0647.9691.2721.3
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)148.0575.0155.9177.4602.8648.6682.6720.1
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITLowest139.5151.6575.0593.4617.4630.6
Nutrition & Care; SalesNumber of Estimates989987
Nutrition & Care; SalesHighest988.4981.83,986.04,183.04,310.04,475.0
Nutrition & Care; SalesAverage952.8952.43,870.84,023.14,143.74,249.2
Nutrition & Care; SalesConsensus (Median)900.03,764.0956.7951.93,861.94,022.84,131.94,255.0
Nutrition & Care; SalesLowest910.7925.83,764.03,858.14,031.74,046.7
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates98101087
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAHighest175.1173.0650.0743.0806.0787.0
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAAverage166.3157.1620.0672.9707.7726.4
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)146.0616.0167.0158.0615.5678.1706.5731.6
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDALowest157.0140.2594.7612.1612.1580.6
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates989987
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest19.018.017.018.418.718.5
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average17.516.516.016.717.117.1
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)16.216.417.016.615.816.616.817.2
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest16.215.115.415.915.114.3
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates888887
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITHighest120.0118.0424.0515.0576.0553.0
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITAverage106.797.6385.0435.2472.1488.7
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)91.0382.0106.696.2382.2433.3471.1507.6
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITLowest91.984.7359.2378.1392.1360.6
Smart Materials; SalesNumber of Estimates989987
Smart Materials; SalesHighest1,170.91,210.34,687.54,906.05,029.05,187.0
Smart Materials; SalesAverage1,133.01,189.54,597.04,746.04,869.34,998.3
Smart Materials; SalesConsensus (Median)1,094.04,455.01,135.71,192.94,618.54,758.24,880.25,033.0
Smart Materials; SalesLowest1,087.51,164.54,455.04,633.24,710.54,781.2
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates98101087
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAHighest176.3191.0695.0782.0843.0873.0
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAAverage162.4183.4660.0715.2752.5794.5
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)160.0607.0166.0184.7665.3713.4747.5801.8
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDALowest145.2174.0607.0653.5694.5729.9
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates989987
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest15.716.315.516.717.417.3
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average14.315.414.415.015.515.9
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)14.613.614.515.514.515.015.415.5
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest13.114.413.413.714.215.2
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates888887
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITHighest96.0108.0388.0456.0489.0541.0
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITAverage82.1101.1334.6380.5414.3455.4
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)76.0272.086.1102.9346.6375.4402.5423.1
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITLowest67.590.3272.0313.5348.4389.9
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; SalesNumber of Estimates989987
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; SalesHighest905.0934.33,399.03,482.03,431.93,500.9
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; SalesAverage787.4807.03,187.33,174.93,173.43,184.6
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; SalesConsensus (Median)887.03,331.0799.0817.53,298.13,331.13,301.93,260.3
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; SalesLowest665.1658.02,672.02,708.02,745.02,782.0
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates98101087
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDAHighest30.432.9121.1149.0222.0224.0
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDAAverage14.922.679.488.8107.7119.4
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)16.063.012.020.367.178.0101.6111.3
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDALowest5.015.050.062.064.366.8
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates989987
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest4.24.23.85.58.18.1
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average1.92.82.62.93.53.8
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)1.81.91.72.52.22.43.23.4
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest0.62.01.51.91.92.0
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates888887
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITHighest-42.5-38.0-177.5-92.0-65.0-67.0
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITAverage-65.8-61.3-213.6-188.8-168.5-161.1
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)-49.0-202.0-59.0-52.5-203.5-182.7-177.3-166.6
Infrastructure / Other incl. C4; Adjusted EBITLowest-125.7-122.0-269.1-271.8-274.6-280.1
Disclaimer

This document has been issued by Vara Research GmbH for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding revenues, earnings and business developments of the relevant company. The company did not participate in the compilation of the estimates and it does not endorse them. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Vara Research GmbH gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.