Evonik Detailed Consensus
Consensus as of: 2024-03-27

KPI[EUR m]Q1 2023FY 2023Q1 2024 EFY 2024 EFY 2025 EFY 2026 EFY 2027 E
SalesNumber of Estimates71414139
SalesHighest4,058.915,985.116,489.517,131.017,799.0
SalesAverage3,897.815,361.115,776.316,277.816,955.2
SalesConsensus (Median)4,005.015,267.03,883.315,313.315,828.416,299.216,977.0
SalesLowest3,754.415,017.015,067.015,598.016,383.0
thereof volumes in %Number of Estimates69775
thereof volumes in %Highest5.921.514.211.92.3
thereof volumes in %Average2.05.04.53.61.5
thereof volumes in %Consensus (Median)-14.0-8.01.52.93.02.32.0
thereof volumes in %Lowest-0.41.52.20.80.0
thereof prices in %Number of Estimates69775
thereof prices in %Highest0.03.11.51.92.1
thereof prices in %Average-1.90.70.70.50.8
thereof prices in %Consensus (Median)3.0-3.0-1.81.30.90.30.4
thereof prices in %Lowest-3.5-2.40.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Number of Estimates69775
thereof FX in %Highest0.00.00.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Average-1.4-0.50.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Consensus (Median)1.0-2.0-1.3-0.30.00.00.0
thereof FX in %Lowest-3.3-1.60.00.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Number of Estimates69775
thereof other incl. M&A in %Highest1.90.00.00.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Average-0.7-3.4-0.70.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Consensus (Median)-1.0-4.0-0.9-1.50.00.00.0
thereof other incl. M&A in %Lowest-2.6-20.0-3.00.00.0
Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates81414139
Adjusted EBITDAHighest461.21,998.72,304.02,488.02,697.4
Adjusted EBITDAAverage449.91,884.32,100.32,255.22,439.2
Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)409.01,656.0450.41,871.72,067.42,227.02,405.7
Adjusted EBITDALowest432.51,802.02,002.02,099.02,220.2
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates71414139
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest11.913.115.315.916.1
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average11.512.313.313.914.4
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)10.210.811.612.213.213.714.3
Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest10.811.712.712.812.9
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Number of Estimates81414139
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Highest-269.3-1,035.0-1,024.0-1,075.0-1,101.1
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Average-279.3-1,117.3-1,125.4-1,146.8-1,178.6
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Consensus (Median)-279.0-1,135.0-280.5-1,126.5-1,133.8-1,143.0-1,167.0
Depreciation and amortization (adjusted)Lowest-287.5-1,150.0-1,178.0-1,218.0-1,259.0
Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates81414139
Adjusted EBITHighest185.7928.51,173.01,339.01,557.8
Adjusted EBITAverage170.6767.0974.81,108.41,260.5
Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)130.0521.0169.5754.1938.31,075.01,233.0
Adjusted EBITLowest153.5668.0848.3990.11,047.4
Adjusted net financial resultsNumber of Estimates61111106
Adjusted net financial resultsHighest-24.0-107.9-56.1-79.4-55.3
Adjusted net financial resultsAverage-30.7-121.7-113.6-113.2-116.4
Adjusted net financial resultsConsensus (Median)-12.0-103.0-29.7-119.0-115.0-110.0-115.8
Adjusted net financial resultsLowest-40.4-161.4-158.6-151.0-187.5
D&A on intangible assetsNumber of Estimates68875
D&A on intangible assetsHighest41.0160.0160.0160.0153.0
D&A on intangible assetsAverage37.0141.9142.0148.4146.4
D&A on intangible assetsConsensus (Median)41.0153.038.1153.0153.0153.0153.0
D&A on intangible assetsLowest30.0100.9100.9120.0120.0
Adjusted income taxesNumber of Estimates61111107
Adjusted income taxesHighest-40.6-187.5-240.9-274.7-318.1
Adjusted income taxesAverage-51.3-220.0-280.6-318.2-358.5
Adjusted income taxesConsensus (Median)-42.0-188.0-53.1-219.6-282.0-321.9-363.4
Adjusted income taxesLowest-56.9-276.0-319.5-349.0-392.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestNumber of Estimates61111106
Adjusted non-controlling interestHighest-2.1-8.8-13.0-13.0-13.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestAverage-3.1-14.8-16.6-17.6-18.0
Adjusted non-controlling interestConsensus (Median)-2.0-13.0-3.1-14.7-15.7-17.4-18.4
Adjusted non-controlling interestLowest-3.7-20.0-20.0-20.2-22.0
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Number of Estimates61414139
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Highest129.0631.0841.0940.01,041.0
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Average118.4512.8660.4749.5847.3
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Consensus (Median)115.0370.0121.4513.0652.5745.6828.0
Adjusted net income (Evonik definition)Lowest96.4271.0419.0535.0668.0
Average number of sharesNumber of Estimates61414139
Average number of sharesHighest466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesAverage466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesConsensus (Median)466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Average number of sharesLowest466.0466.0466.0466.0466.0
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Number of Estimates61414139
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Highest0.281.351.802.022.23
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Average0.251.101.421.611.81
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Consensus (Median)0.250.790.261.101.401.601.78
Adjusted EPS (in Euro) (Evonik definition)Lowest0.210.580.901.151.43
Adjustments Number of Estimates61111108
Adjustments Highest0.00.00.00.00.0
Adjustments Average-16.2-50.8-42.2-41.4-41.3
Adjustments Consensus (Median)-47.0-764.0-15.0-35.0-20.0-10.0-10.0
Adjustments Lowest-37.0-150.0-150.0-150.0-150.0
EBIT (reported)Number of Estimates61212118
EBIT (reported)Highest185.7928.51,153.01,319.01,557.8
EBIT (reported)Average154.6728.1935.71,062.61,196.8
EBIT (reported)Consensus (Median)83.0-243.0146.8756.2922.41,024.01,108.4
EBIT (reported)Lowest127.0518.0739.0898.01,047.4
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Number of Estimates41111106
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Highest104.5583.0777.0897.0998.0
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Average89.2427.2577.1658.3728.7
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Consensus (Median)47.0-465.089.2443.0550.9637.5687.6
Net income attributable to shareholders (reported)Lowest74.1271.0419.0535.0622.1
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Number of Estimates41111106
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Highest0.221.251.671.922.14
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Average0.190.921.241.411.56
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Consensus (Median)0.10-1.000.190.951.181.371.48
EPS (in Euro) (reported)Lowest0.160.580.901.151.34
Dividend per share (in Euro)Number of Estimates-1212106
Dividend per share (in Euro)Highest-1.171.221.271.32
Dividend per share (in Euro)Average-1.171.181.191.21
Dividend per share (in Euro)Consensus (Median)-1.17-1.171.171.171.17
Dividend per share (in Euro)Lowest-1.171.171.171.17
Operating Cash FlowNumber of Estimates-1414139
Operating Cash FlowHighest-1,664.61,809.82,000.62,177.3
Operating Cash FlowAverage-1,467.91,627.01,715.01,846.8
Operating Cash FlowConsensus (Median)227.01,594.0-1,487.91,627.51,714.51,876.0
Operating Cash FlowLowest-1,059.01,134.01,262.01,410.0
CapexNumber of Estimates-1313128
CapexHighest--725.0-736.0-757.0-781.0
CapexAverage--757.3-826.8-848.1-853.8
CapexConsensus (Median)-206.0-793.0--750.0-817.5-846.2-856.6
CapexLowest--858.9-900.0-1,000.0-918.4
Free Cash Flow Number of Estimates-1313128
Free Cash Flow Highest-845.01,065.01,153.21,298.7
Free Cash Flow Average-742.0838.1904.61,047.6
Free Cash Flow Consensus (Median)21.0801.0-740.7826.8904.31,022.1
Free Cash Flow Lowest-665.0673.4663.2929.0
Net financial debt (-cash)Number of Estimates-1212118
Net financial debt (-cash)Highest-3,885.03,808.63,686.03,681.0
Net financial debt (-cash)Average-3,096.62,857.22,626.61,882.3
Net financial debt (-cash)Consensus (Median)3,258.03,310.0-3,194.22,924.62,649.02,301.2
Net financial debt (-cash)Lowest-2,266.01,554.01,176.0-2,094.0
Specialty Additives; SalesNumber of Estimates7101086
Specialty Additives; SalesHighest955.03,714.03,843.83,997.64,159.9
Specialty Additives; SalesAverage885.73,557.73,706.13,820.43,945.4
Specialty Additives; SalesConsensus (Median)921.03,520.0884.23,525.43,685.43,780.33,925.9
Specialty Additives; SalesLowest838.13,423.83,583.03,673.03,819.5
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates8131296
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAHighest183.0732.2837.0879.5932.8
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAAverage164.7686.2761.9792.8853.8
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)168.0673.0162.0684.0757.1791.6843.8
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDALowest155.0664.0699.0692.0779.1
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates7101086
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest20.520.222.023.024.0
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average18.819.320.521.121.7
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)18.219.118.519.220.521.322.0
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest17.618.418.618.718.7
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates77666
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITHighest134.0511.0625.6691.2759.6
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITAverage119.0495.5564.4611.9657.1
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)121.0489.0116.6494.8564.1607.3642.6
Specialty Additives; Adjusted EBITLowest109.0482.4516.9542.7571.2
Nutrition & Care; SalesNumber of Estimates7101086
Nutrition & Care; SalesHighest974.63,972.14,094.94,299.64,514.6
Nutrition & Care; SalesAverage938.53,825.63,967.74,141.24,271.7
Nutrition & Care; SalesConsensus (Median)886.03,611.0948.03,828.84,001.04,179.54,335.0
Nutrition & Care; SalesLowest859.43,567.03,707.03,893.03,994.5
Animal Nutrition; SalesNumber of Estimates55444
Animal Nutrition; SalesHighest501.41,984.62,019.92,096.32,175.7
Animal Nutrition; SalesAverage468.11,840.01,898.91,967.42,038.7
Animal Nutrition; SalesConsensus (Median)441.01,750.0459.01,820.01,892.01,981.72,075.8
Animal Nutrition; SalesLowest449.81,766.41,791.71,809.71,827.8
Health & Care; SalesNumber of Estimates55444
Health & Care; SalesHighest481.02,074.42,139.72,116.42,207.6
Health & Care; SalesAverage461.41,969.82,049.22,096.92,146.0
Health & Care; SalesConsensus (Median)445.01,861.0480.41,954.02,029.02,093.82,173.3
Health & Care; SalesLowest409.61,918.51,999.02,083.42,029.9
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates8131296
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAHighest175.0595.8664.0695.5768.3
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAAverage133.9526.1583.7600.6662.2
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)76.0389.0133.6520.0590.5588.9656.4
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDALowest96.9473.0531.0526.8575.1
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates7101086
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest14.815.016.116.617.6
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average13.613.814.514.715.5
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)8.610.814.013.714.614.614.9
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest11.312.713.012.514.1
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates77666
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITHighest79.8312.3367.9444.6514.0
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITAverage67.4269.2341.4373.7407.2
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)13.0147.073.0258.3358.8373.1400.8
Nutrition & Care; Adjusted EBITLowest36.8229.2270.0307.6323.3
Smart Materials; SalesNumber of Estimates7101086
Smart Materials; SalesHighest1,167.14,728.74,965.15,163.75,166.4
Smart Materials; SalesAverage1,127.54,506.84,677.34,839.54,946.3
Smart Materials; SalesConsensus (Median)1,188.04,461.01,128.64,481.64,638.74,811.65,004.4
Smart Materials; SalesLowest1,084.64,410.64,599.54,645.04,668.0
Inorganics; SalesNumber of Estimates55444
Inorganics; SalesHighest885.83,380.13,435.23,538.33,644.4
Inorganics; SalesAverage830.63,258.53,363.03,459.63,561.0
Inorganics; SalesConsensus (Median)860.03,238.0817.03,238.03,366.73,437.93,577.3
Inorganics; SalesLowest774.03,157.13,283.33,424.53,445.1
Polymers; SalesNumber of Estimates55444
Polymers; SalesHighest328.31,295.11,335.01,382.01,438.0
Polymers; SalesAverage295.41,222.41,272.51,293.71,312.3
Polymers; SalesConsensus (Median)328.01,224.0310.61,248.01,278.11,293.01,319.6
Polymers; SalesLowest219.01,075.41,198.91,207.11,172.1
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates8131296
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAHighest159.5601.0753.0770.7869.3
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAAverage143.3574.5650.6682.5756.5
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)164.0540.0140.3571.0657.8699.6741.7
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDALowest130.0544.0592.0556.0635.2
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates7101086
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest14.713.514.816.017.0
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average12.812.813.814.415.3
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)13.812.112.512.713.814.315.1
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest11.512.312.813.213.6
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates77666
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITHighest83.6290.3330.4417.2502.9
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITAverage58.8220.4297.9351.3400.3
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)79.0181.054.5216.0300.3347.2385.6
Smart Materials; Adjusted EBITLowest38.0187.0253.1283.7310.9
Performance Materials; SalesNumber of Estimates7101086
Performance Materials; SalesHighest688.62,705.02,776.42,832.02,888.6
Performance Materials; SalesAverage646.12,356.62,401.02,421.42,707.9
Performance Materials; SalesConsensus (Median)707.02,549.0664.62,431.62,537.92,614.02,773.9
Performance Materials; SalesLowest566.01,759.01,741.41,724.02,367.6
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates8131296
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDAHighest30.0165.2300.0300.0300.0
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDAAverage24.4132.3180.3197.2228.9
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)37.0111.026.9130.0177.4183.5212.5
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDALowest15.7113.0127.0145.0184.2
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates7101086
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest4.97.312.111.811.4
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average3.75.78.08.58.5
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)5.24.44.05.57.98.28.2
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest2.34.25.96.26.5
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates77666
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITHighest7.060.8213.8215.5217.2
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITAverage-3.532.694.7110.6122.9
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)8.04.0-3.433.174.079.498.6
Performance Materials; Adjusted EBITLowest-11.910.049.570.171.6
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; SalesNumber of Estimates7101086
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; SalesHighest378.81,407.51,407.51,407.51,407.5
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; SalesAverage300.11,172.61,190.51,227.51,260.6
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; SalesConsensus (Median)303.01,126.0300.01,165.71,185.71,197.51,265.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; SalesLowest265.01,015.01,014.01,120.11,126.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDANumber of Estimates8131296
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDAHighest0.0-4.50.0-3.0-12.2
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDAAverage-16.3-29.0-66.4-71.7-84.6
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDAConsensus (Median)-36.0-57.0-15.0-27.0-40.5-35.0-38.2
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDALowest-35.0-80.0-200.0-220.0-220.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Number of Estimates7101086
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Highest0.0-0.4-1.0-1.0-1.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Average-4.6-2.9-6.0-6.6-6.8
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Consensus (Median)-11.9-5.1-2.6-2.8-3.4-3.0-3.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITDA margin in %Lowest-11.3-6.7-16.2-17.3-16.8
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITNumber of Estimates77666
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITHighest-57.4-229.7-251.8-254.0-256.3
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITAverage-71.3-269.0-320.0-328.3-330.1
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITConsensus (Median)-91.0-300.0-65.0-269.0-276.9-274.2-276.0
Technology & Infrastructure / Other; Adjusted EBITLowest-98.0-314.0-467.8-495.8-504.1
Disclaimer

This document has been issued by Vara Research GmbH for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding revenues, earnings and business developments of the relevant company. The company did not participate in the compilation of the estimates and it does not endorse them. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Vara Research GmbH gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.