Kesko Group Detailed Consensus
Last Update: 2022-08-12

Following the 3:1 share split in Q2 2020 EPS & DPS are calculated with the post-split number of shares; historic values are restated.

Kesko Senukai is treated as a subsidiary up to Q2 2020 and from Q3 2020 onwards is it treated as a JV.


KPI[EUR m]Q3 2021FY 2021Q3 2022 EFY 2022 EFY 2023 EFY 2024 E
Net SalesNumber of Estimates7888
Net SalesHighest3,061.011,884.012,231.012,625.0
Net SalesConsensus2,902.411,300.23,018.711,789.811,907.812,188.3
Net SalesMedian3,016.011,796.011,921.512,186.5
Net SalesLowest2,983.011,695.011,521.011,800.0
Operating Profit reportedNumber of Estimates6888
Operating Profit reportedHighest237.1816.0761.0776.0
Operating Profit reportedConsensus236.5775.2231.2808.5742.0753.4
Operating Profit reportedMedian231.5810.5746.0755.0
Operating Profit reportedLowest225.0797.0713.0728.0
Items affecting comparabilityNumber of Estimates6888
Items affecting comparabilityHighest0.03.50.00.1
Items affecting comparabilityConsensus0.1-0.30.02.70.00.0
Items affecting comparabilityMedian0.03.00.00.0
Items affecting comparabilityLowest0.00.0-0.20.0
Comparable Operating ProfitNumber of Estimates7888
Comparable Operating ProfitHighest237.1812.5761.0776.0
Comparable Operating ProfitConsensus236.4775.5230.5805.8742.0753.4
Comparable Operating ProfitMedian229.0807.5746.0755.0
Comparable Operating ProfitLowest225.0793.8713.0728.0
Comparable Operating Profit Margin %Number of Estimates7888
Comparable Operating Profit Margin %Highest7.86.96.36.5
Comparable Operating Profit Margin %Consensus-6.97.66.86.26.2
Comparable Operating Profit Margin %Median7.76.86.36.2
Comparable Operating Profit Margin %Lowest7.56.76.06.0
Profit before taxes reportedNumber of Estimates5888
Profit before taxes reportedHighest220.0754.0695.0709.0
Profit before taxes reportedConsensus220.0712.9214.2745.6678.5688.8
Profit before taxes reportedMedian214.0749.5686.5693.0
Profit before taxes reportedLowest209.0731.0650.0665.0
Comparable profit before taxesNumber of Estimates5888
Comparable profit before taxesHighest220.0750.5695.0709.0
Comparable profit before taxesConsensus219.3710.4214.2742.9678.5688.7
Comparable profit before taxesMedian214.0746.5686.6693.0
Comparable profit before taxesLowest209.0727.8650.0665.0
Group net income reported (after minorities)Number of Estimates7888
Group net income reported (after minorities)Highest175.0603.0556.0568.0
Group net income reported (after minorities)Consensus170.2571.8170.4595.4542.0550.3
Group net income reported (after minorities)Median171.0595.7546.4550.0
Group net income reported (after minorities)Lowest164.0585.0520.0534.0
Comparable group net income (after minorities)Number of Estimates6888
Comparable group net income (after minorities)Highest175.0600.0556.0568.0
Comparable group net income (after minorities)Consensus170.1568.2170.6592.7542.0550.2
Comparable group net income (after minorities)Median171.7593.9546.5550.0
Comparable group net income (after minorities)Lowest164.0581.8520.0534.0
Number of shares outstanding (in million)Number of Estimates7888
Number of shares outstanding (in million)Highest397.5397.5397.5397.5
Number of shares outstanding (in million)Consensus397.0397.1397.0397.2397.2397.1
Number of shares outstanding (in million)Median396.7397.5397.5397.1
Number of shares outstanding (in million)Lowest396.7396.7396.7396.7
EPS reported (in Euro)Number of Estimates7888
EPS reported (in Euro)Highest0.441.511.391.43
EPS reported (in Euro)Consensus0.431.440.431.491.361.38
EPS reported (in Euro)Median0.431.501.381.38
EPS reported (in Euro)Lowest0.411.471.301.33
EPS comparable (in Euro)Number of Estimates6777
EPS comparable (in Euro)Highest0.441.521.391.43
EPS comparable (in Euro)Consensus0.431.430.431.501.371.38
EPS comparable (in Euro)Median0.431.491.381.38
EPS comparable (in Euro)Lowest0.421.471.321.33
DPS (in Euro)Number of Estimates-888
DPS (in Euro)Highest-1.101.151.20
DPS (in Euro)Consensus-1.06-1.091.101.12
DPS (in Euro)Median-1.091.101.13
DPS (in Euro)Lowest-1.071.001.00
Investments Number of Estimates-888
Investments Highest--253.0-263.0-263.0
Investments Consensus--276.6--444.5-431.8-430.9
Investments Median--391.0-397.5-404.0
Investments Lowest--735.8-671.0-684.0
ROCE, comparable %Number of Estimates-777
ROCE, comparable %Highest-17.015.015.0
ROCE, comparable %Consensus-17.2-16.014.114.0
ROCE, comparable %Median-16.414.414.2
ROCE, comparable %Lowest-14.813.012.6
Grocery trade, Net salesNumber of Estimates7777
Grocery trade, Net salesHighest1,618.06,175.06,280.06,439.0
Grocery trade, Net salesConsensus1,515.35,909.01,571.76,102.96,224.46,368.3
Grocery trade, Net salesMedian1,570.06,097.06,226.06,361.0
Grocery trade, Net salesLowest1,536.06,059.06,182.06,312.0
Grocery trade, Comparable Operating ProfitNumber of Estimates7777
Grocery trade, Comparable Operating ProfitHighest131.0469.0460.4475.2
Grocery trade, Comparable Operating ProfitConsensus122.2442.9124.5459.3434.9442.1
Grocery trade, Comparable Operating ProfitMedian125.8458.3434.0433.0
Grocery trade, Comparable Operating ProfitLowest118.0447.0410.0419.0
Building and technical trade, Net SalesNumber of Estimates7777
Building and technical trade, Net SalesHighest1,244.04,889.04,867.04,963.0
Building and technical trade, Net SalesConsensus1,132.74,387.71,213.74,806.64,638.94,726.9
Building and technical trade, Net SalesMedian1,221.04,806.04,619.04,680.0
Building and technical trade, Net SalesLowest1,153.04,672.04,359.04,466.0
Building and technical trade, Comparable Operating ProfitNumber of Estimates7777
Building and technical trade, Comparable Operating ProfitHighest105.0343.3298.0302.7
Building and technical trade, Comparable Operating ProfitConsensus104.5318.0100.9335.8286.2286.2
Building and technical trade, Comparable Operating ProfitMedian102.9338.0284.0289.0
Building and technical trade, Comparable Operating ProfitLowest94.0324.0271.0268.0
Car trade, Net SalesNumber of Estimates7777
Car trade, Net SalesHighest250.0950.01,093.01,118.0
Car trade, Net SalesConsensus260.71,028.3239.4903.61,019.31,051.7
Car trade, Net SalesMedian235.0902.01,028.01,049.0
Car trade, Net SalesLowest228.0871.0947.0970.0
Car trade, Comparable Operating ProfitNumber of Estimates7777
Car trade, Comparable Operating ProfitHighest16.651.766.671.0
Car trade, Comparable Operating ProfitConsensus18.252.213.947.756.259.9
Car trade, Comparable Operating ProfitMedian14.048.055.058.1
Car trade, Comparable Operating ProfitLowest8.241.948.050.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Net salesNumber of Estimates7777
Common operations and Eliminations, Net salesHighest-5.0-21.0-20.0-20.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Net salesConsensus-6.2-24.8-5.9-25.6-23.8-24.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Net salesMedian-6.0-27.0-25.0-26.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Net salesLowest-6.2-27.2-27.8-28.3
Common operations and Eliminations, Comparable Operating ProfitNumber of Estimates7777
Common operations and Eliminations, Comparable Operating ProfitHighest-8.0-33.5-31.0-31.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Comparable Operating ProfitConsensus-8.5-37.7-8.8-36.6-36.5-37.2
Common operations and Eliminations, Comparable Operating ProfitMedian-8.7-37.0-37.0-38.0
Common operations and Eliminations, Comparable Operating ProfitLowest-9.7-39.3-38.0-39.1
Disclaimer

This document has been issued by Vara Research GmbH for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding revenues, earnings and business developments of the relevant company. The company did not participate in the compilation of the estimates and it does not endorse them. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Vara Research GmbH gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.